A draw is a bankers best friend
In any gambling game, the casino has a certain advantage over ordinary participants. If not for this fact, sooner or later every gambling establishment would go bankrupt. The task of strategies is to reduce it to a minimum. Applying mathematical laws, you can calculate the most favorable methods of betting.In our case, the chances of success depend on the chosen bet. So, mathematically proven advantage of the casino is:
- 15.75% when betting on a draw
- Of 1.29% on the player
- Of 1.01% for the Bank
We will not go into the details of the calculations of these figures. In different sources, you can find small differences (this is due to the fact that there are varieties of the game). The main thing that can be extracted from them-you can not bet on a draw. On short distances, you can get some dividends, but playing for a long time, you will invariably reduce your bankroll.
The second conclusion that can be made is the most profitable to bet "on the Bank". Despite the fact that the dealer in this case will retain a Commission of 5% of your bet, the probability of success is still higher. It would seem that the payment of bets "on a draw" is made at the rate of 9 to 1. However, a draw is extremely rare. Most often it is the banker who wins.
Card count – does it make sense
It is believed that it is possible to apply a card counting strategy (similar to blackjack) to baccarat. These games, of course, have similarities, but they are not so great. The tactic of counting cards can be used in baccarat, but such a measure gives almost no advantages. The rules of this game are such that they do not allow you to get at the expense of this advantage. This is due to the fact that players have almost no freedom of choice of actions.Each card that is eliminated has an impact on further chances, but it is extremely small. Experts have found that counting cards in baccarat is 10 times less effective than in blackjack. The conclusion is: do not waste your time counting the cards dropped. The impracticability of this method is described in detail in Edward Thorpes book the Mathematics of gambling.
If you still want to apply this tactic, you need to pay attention to 4 and 6. When a large number of fours fall out, the bankers chances increase. Exit sixes increases the chances of the player.
Martingale in Baccarat
Martingale is the most versatile strategy. It is as follows: in case of loss, you need to double the bet each time until the winning outcome. After the winning game, you must return to the original bet. This tactic is widely used in roulette and blackjack.However, in our case, it carries a little less efficiency, because:
If you bet "on the player", the casino will have an advantage. As we said earlier about 1.3%. This means that you will have to double the bet quite often.
At rates "on Bank", it is necessary in case of a victory to give the Commission (4-5%). As a result, doubling will return only 90-92% of the previous bet.
Despite these factors, strictly adhering to this tactic at long distances, you can always stay in the black. The main thing is to have a bankroll many times larger than the initial bet. Returning to roulette, do not forget that in it, too, the casino has an advantage, that is, the chances of winning are not 50-50. This is due to the presence of 0 (zero). It turns out that there are 37 options, of which only 18 bring success.
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